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In Reply to: A Real Simple Math Quiz - Let's Make a Deal posted by Don T on October 19, 2006 at 21:29:27:
you should switchThe reason is because Monty will be assumed never to open the $100,000 door and show you you've lost. Thus if the prize is behind either 2 or 3, he has just showed you which one.
The odds of winning if you stick are 1 in 3, if you switch are 2 in 3.
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Follow Ups
- it's an old one - tunenut 22:01:21 10/19/06 (21)
- Re: it's an old one - Don T 23:20:01 10/20/06 (20)
- what's confusing about it - tunenut 16:02:22 10/21/06 (19)
- That's wrong! - Don T 09:31:41 10/24/06 (18)
- I'm sorry but you are incorrect - tunenut 19:15:15 10/24/06 (17)
- No I'm not! - Don T 17:42:23 10/25/06 (16)
- you are close but not correct - tunenut 19:29:36 10/25/06 (15)
- That's not the right way to count! - Don T 21:17:10 10/25/06 (14)
- I guess I will have to quit - tunenut 21:27:20 10/25/06 (13)
- Re: I guess I will have to quit - Don T 00:20:28 10/26/06 (12)
- Re: I guess I will have to quit - tunenut 07:19:05 10/26/06 (11)
- Re: I guess I will have to quit - Don T 11:56:28 10/26/06 (2)
- Re: I guess I will have to quit - tunenut 18:20:39 10/26/06 (1)
- Re: I guess I will have to quit - Don T 23:12:00 10/26/06 (0)
- Re: I guess I will have to quit - Don T 08:25:01 10/26/06 (7)
- here is your logical fallacy - tunenut 10:07:27 10/26/06 (6)
- It's still wrong. - Don T 11:41:47 10/26/06 (5)
- Please answer my three questions (NT) - tunenut 11:44:56 10/26/06 (4)
- Re: Please answer my three questions (NT) - Don T 12:04:12 10/26/06 (3)
- Re: Please answer my three questions (NT) - tunenut 12:45:51 10/26/06 (2)