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RE: Idiot Wind...

Doomscrolling through the daily clips of chaos on our college campuses, it's fair for the sane among us to ask: Are these histrionic dolts actually going to tip the election to Trump?

Do they actually want him to win? The very progressive writer, Jonathan Chait, went so far as to imagine a de facto alliance between the pro-Hamas left and the Trumpist right. "The campus protests, with their ragged encampments and radical chants, enhance the image of chaos that Donald Trump claims has overtaken the country," Chait writes.

The conventional wisdom suggests that the war in Gaza is hurting Joe Biden politically, particularly among younger voters. Lately, they've taken to calling him "Genocide Joe". According to one poll, no less than 52 percent of young voters across all parties are considering Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in November. Various news outlets insist that number would be smaller if not for the unrest in Gaza.

But assumptions are one thing, evidence is another. And evidence that Gaza is a major liability for Biden is pretty scarce. A recent survey from Harvard suggests that the average young voter cares less about Gaza than about his own wallet. Researchers compiled a list of 16 issues and asked a sample of 18-to 29-year-olds to choose which was more important to them when offered two at random. Israel/Palestine finished next to last; the top place went to inflation, as one might expect.

What worries many on the Left and Right is that the campus protests are giving otherwise Trump-skeptical Independents a reason to hold their noses and support Big Orange Man.

Admittedly, there's no hard evidence of that happening on a grand scale...(yet). Voters might not care much about Israel and Palestine but they do care about civic disorder, as Democrats learned the hard way in 1968 and even 2020, when "defund the police" backfired on them.

Trump knows it too, which is why he torpedoed the Senate compromise on immigration enforcement earlier this year. He wasn't worried that that deal would fail to solve the border crisis, he was worried that it would (succeed). Trump craves chaos at the border and elsewhere because he realizes that voters will be more eager to turn to a strongman in November to reimpose law and order if they feel unsafe. That's also why you don't hear much from the right about the decline in crime lately: Authoritarianism never looks better than when things seem out of control.


Right now, things appear very out of control on American campuses.

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